2023 NFL playoffs: AFC and NFC seed projections, predictions - ESPN

There are eight weeks left in the 2023 NFL regular season, but we're already looking to January and how the 14-team playoff picture could look on the road to Super Bowl LVIII.

Will the 7-2 Kansas City Chiefs hold onto the 1-seed in the AFC? And could we get a Super Bowl rematch with the 8-1 Philadelphia Eagles, who are currently the 1-seed in the NFC? Plus, which teams could sneak into the wild-card round of the postseason?

We used ESPN's Football Power Index to project the rest of the season, looking at the playoff picture for both conferences, along with odds for the favorites to make the postseason, clinch the division and even make the Super Bowl. We also have seeding projections for the AFC and NFC, so you can see the most likely matchups in each conference, and an early look at the teams fighting for the No. 1 pick in next year's draft.

Here's everything you need as we get closer to the NFL playoffs (updated on Friday, Nov. 17, after the news about Joe Burrow's season-ending injury):

Jump to a section:
AFC: Full projections | Seeding
NFC: Full projections | Seeding
Week 10 matchup to watch
Race for the 2024 No. 1 pick

FPI sees runaway favorites for the AFC West and East, but it's less clear about the South and North, where a few teams could win division titles.

The 5-5 Cincinnati Bengals now have a 10% chance to make the playoffs, per FPI, following the news of Joe Burrow's injury. Before the injury, they had a 28% chance to make the playoffs. FPI also gives them a 0.3% chance to win the AFC North.

The 7-2 Kansas City Chiefs are on track to get the 1-seed, which comes with a bye until the divisional round. In the opening wild-card round, the 2-seed hosts the 7-seed, the 3-seed hosts the 6-seed and the 4-seed hosts