2023 NBA playoffs - Odds, picks, betting tips for Celtics-Heat Game 4 - ESPN

ESPN's fantasy basketball and basketball betting tips cheat sheet is your pregame destination for basketball betting predictions and our best intel and data, featuring ESPN's proprietary Basketball Power Index (BPI) to help you make smart fantasy and wagering decisions. NBA game odds for Tuesday are provided by Caesars Sportsbook.

The Miami Heat are one win from joining the Denver Nuggets in the NBA Finals. The improbable run from the eighth-seeded Heat includes them being favored over the Boston Celtics this evening for the first time in the series. For those seeking some DFS competition, note that tonight features a Showdown format that caters to this single game.

The Showdown format tasks managers with selecting a team captain, a player who will earn 150% more fantasy points given this distinction. A key option for captaincy is Jayson Tatum, who struggled badly from the field in Game 3's blowout loss but should consume a massive workload tonight. His rebounding and defensive production will help build big lines. Marcus Smart is also an ideal utility option given his ability to rack up assists and rebounds even when his shot isn't falling.

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It's no shocker that Jimmy Butler also merits consideration, especially if he's tasked with playing nearly 40 minutes again. He's logged at least 40 minutes over the past five games, cruising past 50 DraftKings points each time. Complementary options for Miami are fairly plentiful, while my model favors Caleb Martin as the ideal glue guy to pair with Butler in lineups. With everything on the line, it will be interesting to see which players step up.