2023 NBA playoffs - Odds, picks, betting tips for Saturday's Game 3s - ESPN

ESPN's fantasy basketball and basketball betting tips cheat sheet is your pregame destination for basketball betting predictions and our best intel and data, featuring ESPN's proprietary Basketball Power Index (BPI) to help you make smart fantasy and wagering decisions. NBA game odds for Saturday, May 6, are provided by Caesars Sportsbook.

A Saturday slate rich with rivalries begins with the Miami Heat hosting the New York Knicks in an afternoon matchup of storied rivals. While this series isn't quite as contentious as the late 1990s matchups between these teams, it has been a hard-fought defensive battle, as the total of 209.5 points suggests.

This doesn't mean we should fade this game based on suppressed offense, but instead some value plays in order to pay up for the cost certainty of Jimmy Butler and Julius Randle in DFS lineups. Key periphery players such as Gabe Vincent and Josh Hart stand out with that coveted combo of low pricing and intriguing projections.

The classic rivalry of LeBron James and Stephen Curry takes place in Los Angeles in the prime-time slot and once again my model loves the outcome spectrum for Draymond Green as well as his passing props. It also seems Anthony Davis is due for a bounce-back after a modest line in Game 2, especially as he has the potential to near 40 minutes in a game that will demand his interior scoring and rim protection.

— Jim McCormick

Records (Against the Spread) Knicks: 47-35 (45-35-2) Heat: 44-38 (30-49-3)

Line: Heat (-4) Total: 209BPI Projection: Knicks by 5.3Money Line: Knicks (148), Heat (-175)

Injury Report: Knicks: Jericho Sims, (OUT — Shoulder) Heat: Caleb Martin, (GTD — Back); Haywood Highsmith, (GTD — Knee); Jimmy Butler, (GTD — Ankle); Tyler Herro, (OUT —