2022 NBA playoffs -- Betting tips for Tuesday's Game 5 matchups

Jump ahead: Game of the night | Picks and props | Analytics edge

All odds are provided by Caesars Sportsbook.

Stuck in a Funk: It is no secret that Trae Young is struggling massively. He has gone under his point total in every game this series (16.5 PPG) and is shooting just 32.1% from the field and 20.8% from 3. The Heat seem to be focused on preventing Young from penetrating, as 10 of his 11 shots on Sunday were from 3 and he attempted just one free throw. Given the Heat's 3-1 series lead, it's difficult to see the game plan changing at all. Making Young perimeter-oriented leads to plenty of success for Miami, but based on Young's regular season, what we saw in Game 4 should be viewed as an outlier. The Hawks have gone 14-7 when at least half of Young's shots came from distance. Young's success from 3 could be the difference in this win-or-go-home Game 5. That makes Young's 3-point prop worth considering for parlays.

Kyle Avoids Towns: Karl-Anthony Towns was amazing in the Timberwolves' Game 4 win but has a significant downside Tuesday. He is averaging 31 points and 13.5 rebounds when he stays out of foul trouble, compared to 11.5 PPG and 8 RPG in the two games in which he committed five fouls. Those are pretty drastic splits, so it's worth noting Towns has averaged 10.3% more fouls per game on the road than at home this season. Towns also averaged 4.3 fouls per game over Minnesota's past six losses, something the spread suggests is the likely outcome tonight. While another big game from Towns is possible, I'm not sure it is as likely as his prop markets project.

Exploiting A Mismatch: The Suns view their interior scoring as a strength and without Devin Booker, Phoenix is even more focused on taking advantage against