2022 NBA playoffs - Betting tips for Sunday's Game 1 matchups

Jump ahead: Game of the night | Picks and props

All odds are provided by Caesars Sportsbook.

Value Splash Brother: Much has been made about the Warriors and what now appears to be a set of three Splash siblings, but one sticks out as the value play today both in the prop markets and across the DFS landscape. Jordan Poole averaged 21 points in the first round and hit the 50-40-90 shooting line in the process, but he played 14 fewer minutes than Klay Thompson in Game 5 as Golden State started their «death lineup».

The clear edge in playing time for Thompson, however, is just the tip of the iceberg. His 3-point rate (the percentage of shot attempts that came from downtown) was up to 51.7% this regular season from last regular season's 42.7% and in the first round win over the Nuggets, Thompson's rate was 56.5%. Obviously, an increase like this is encouraging for one of the best shooters to play the game, but what about this matchup? Well, the Grizzlies allowed the Timberwolves (an average 3-point shooting team) to make 44-of-100 triples over the final three games of the series.

Only one team in the league hunts three pointers at a higher rate than Minnesota (38.2% of their points come via the 3) this season and it's Golden State (38.8%), so with Thompson getting healthier by the day, he's a strong buy in Game 1 and until Memphis proves they can guard the perimeter.

Clarke Cleaning the Glass: One angle working in the Grizzlies' favor for this series against the Warriors is the size, bounce, and relentlessness that Brandon Clarke brings off the pine. Clarke became an essential part of the Memphis playoff rotation against Minnesota, averaging 18.3 points and 9.8 rebounds during the final four games of the series.

Clarke led