Hezbollah has lost several dozen fighters in cross-border skirmishes since Hamas sparked the war with Israel last month. Do Tehran and its proxies want to keep the tensions on a low simmer or dial them up for a full boil?
There are good arguments for both. The US, conscious of the mounting outrage over Israel's daily bombardments of civilians in Gaza, is now calling for a humanitarian pause in that Palestinian territory.
What's Washington's plan for de-escalation? Meanwhile Israel's enemies, starting with Iran, see an opportunity to scuttle a normalisation of ties with regional powers and a chance to break out of their own isolation in the name of solidarity with the Palestinians.
Produced by Maya Yataghene, Rebecca Gnignati and Louise Guibert. Daily newsletterReceive essential international news every morning Take international news everywhere with you!