Week 7 NFL picks - Evaluating Patriots-Jaguars, Seahawks-Falcons, Panthers-Commanders - ESPN

Welcome to Week 7. We get an NFC North game between the Detroit Lions and the Minnesota Vikings, so that division should finally sort itself out a little bit. We've got a Super Bowl rematch between the San Francisco and Kansas City Chiefs, both dramatically different teams than when they last played. And we've got two «Monday Night Football» games. Don't forget your espresso this week!

I touch on almost every game of the slate in this week's column. But I'm focused on three matchups in particular to watch this week, with a game-level bet for each (side or total), as well as a prop for each — and a few more lines and props I'm targeting that you'll find at the bottom of the page.

All odds current as of publication time and courtesy of ESPN BET.

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Week 6 recap | Patriots-Jaguars | Seahawks-Falcons | Panthers-Commanders | Quick hits and SGP

We're inventing brand new ways to lose bets over here. Calvin Ridley became the first player in a decade to have no catches on eight or more targets, and the New Orleans Saints were scoreless in three of four quarters, yet somehow went over their team total.

Breaking bad was funny early in the season; it's starting to get preposterous.

Week 6: 5-6 (-0.80 units)

Overall: 28-36 (-5.92u)
Spread: 4-7 (-3.28u)
Total: 6-8 (-2.7u)
Props: 18-15 (+1.26u)
Same-game parlay: 0-6 (-1.2u)

Tyler Fulghum likes Drake Maye and the Patriots' matchup against the Jaguars' defense.

The London game was very profitable for us last week, with an easy cover on the Chicago Bears, a big D'Andre Swift receiving day and even a cruise to the over — rare for London! I have strong leans to both the Patriots +5.5 and the over once again, as I continue to doubt this Jaguars team and their ability to steady the ship.

B