Week 6 NFL best bets, analysis, game picks and props - ESPN

Value is value, no matter where — or how — you find it. And that's what we'll aim to do each week in this space: finding betting value.

Ben Solak, Seth Walder and Matt Bowen bring different perspectives into how they approach sports betting. Solak leans on his expertise in player evaluation and the X's and O's to find edges, while Walder relies on statistical models to pick out plus-expected value bets, focusing mainly on defense. Bowen, a former NFL safety, predicts positive matchups and game winners from tape study and his understanding of the league. Also included are fantasy projection creator Mike Clay's top predicted anytime TD scorers for Week 6.

From spreads and money lines to totals and defensive player props, a good price might be found anywhere. Results will be tracked throughout the season, with flat one-unit wagers for each listed bet. With that, let's dive into our best bets, the top game to bet, favorite defensive props to play and the top predicted TD scorers.

Note: Odds by DraftKings and subject to change.

Jump to:
Bowen's Game of the Week
Solak's plays | Walder's props
Clay's TD projections

Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (-2.5, 42.5)
9:30 a.m. ET on NFL Network, Wembley Stadium, London

It's a tough week to pick games. However, we are going to make some plays here, starting with my picks for the Texans and Jaguars in London. Here's how I see Sunday's matchup playing out ...

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When the Texans have the ball: Quarterback C.J. Stroud has played really good