Top 10 Premier League finishers defying their xG

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Who has the easier title run in?

We’re talking non-penalty G-xG, which is basically how many more (non-penalty) Premier League goals a player has scored over and above the xG of his chances. So in short, who is scoring more goals than he should? And no, Mo Salah is not even on the list. Statistics are taken from the brilliant FB.Ref.

10) Ruben Neves (Wolves)

Non-penalty goals: 4

Non-penalty xG: 1.1

Non-penalty G-xG: 2.9

Takes an awful lot of shots from outside the area – 35 of 38 this season were from distance. Some of them go in. That will keep down your xG. He might yet have a say in the title race.

9) Maxwell Cornet (Burnley)

Non-penalty goals: 7

Non-penalty xG: 4.1

Non-penalty G-xG: 2.9

And that’s why he is one player who will stay up in the Premier League even if Burnley go down.

8) Reece James (Chelsea)

Non-penalty goals: 5

Non-penalty xG: 2.0

Non-penalty G-xG: 3.0

Full-backs who score five goals are always likely to appear on such a list because their strikes are unlikely to be tap-ins. They missed him.

7) Conor Gallagher (Crystal Palace)

Non-penalty goals: 

One of the revelations of the season and, on this evidence, the England international should more than hold his own for Chelsea if he returns there this summer.

6) Jack Harrison (Leeds United)

Non-penalty goals:

Three goals in his last three Leeds games have taken Harrison to within a strike of last season’s total despite a poor, poor