NFL Draft Day Predictor 2022 - When could the QBs be drafted? Which teams should trade up? Which prospects are Round 1 sleepers?

To draft well in the NFL, teams have to read the room. It doesn't just matter how well front offices evaluate prospects or wheel and deal with opponents while on the clock. They also need to know when players are going to come off the board so they don't unnecessarily miss out on the ones they want or — and this is critical — take a player before they need to, wasting valuable draft capital.

Enter ESPN's Draft Day Predictor, a statistical tool that produces a range of selection outcomes for prospects in the NFL draft. It uses expert mock drafts, Scouts Inc. grades and team needs as inputs and helps us answer questions about how things could play out. It gives percentage chances of each prospect being available — and being selected — at each draft slot, which of course leads to a likely range of picks in which he could realistically come off the board.

For the first time, the Draft Day Predictor is a publicly available tool. It will update on Thursday morning as final mock drafts come in and then update live during the draft Thursday night. But for now, let's break down some of the storylines of the 2022 draft, with the Draft Day Predictor serving as our crystal ball. Remember: This tool does not operate in certainties because there are no certainties when it comes to others' decision-making. But it does produce probabilities, and we'll use those to guide us through eight big questions.

Check out the Draft Day Predictor

If the New Orleans Saints are hoping to select Liberty's Willis or Pitt's Pickett, there's a 64% chance that one of the two quarterbacks will be there for them at No. 16, per the Draft Day Predictor. Even though it would make for an uncomfortable wait with no guarantees it will pay off, they probably can