NFL Division round betting: Broncos too much for Josh Allen to overcome? - ESPN

The Buffalo Bills head to Denver on Saturday for the divisional matchup versus a Broncos team coming off a first-round bye.

Matt Bowen breaks down the matchup, looking at schematic tendencies and personnel, and offers his take, and Liz Loza, Pamela Maldonado, Eric Moody and Seth Walder share their best bets, analysis and DFS plays to help you get in on the action.

Note: Odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and subject to change.

Bowen: The Bills will see a top-tier Denver defense that played man coverage on a league-high 60.8% of opponent dropbacks, so coordinator Joe Brady will need answers here to create defined targets and get the ball out of Josh Allen's hands at a quicker rate. Look for more crossers and underneath throws, though the Bills will take their shots down the field on perimeter one-on-ones. As always with Buffalo, the run game remains a critical part of the offensive script, which means volume for James Cook III.

Edge: Broncos

Best bet: Dalton Kincaid over 3.5 receptions (+117): Given the defensive coverage tendencies of the Broncos, Kincaid will be a prime target for Allen on middle-of-the-field throws while also operating as an outlet/checkdown versus pressure.

Bowen: We know what the Bills are from a defensive perspective, playing with discipline and zone eyes in their split-safety coverages. Look for Sean Payton to scheme concepts here, creating zone voids for quarterback Bo Nix to deliver the ball in rhythm. The Broncos can create production with the run game versus a Buffalo defense that has struggled to limit opposing rushers.

Edge: Broncos

Best bet: RJ Harvey over 54.5 rushing yards (-114): Harvey has seen at least 14 carries in four of his last five games, so let's play the steady volume