Mike Clay's NFL Betting Playbook for Week 15 - ESPN

Week 15 is right around the corner, and the betting market is loaded with player props. That's why we're bringing you the NFL betting playbook, highlighting some of the top options for each game.

Now, you might already be familiar with my weekly playbook for fantasy football, which features score projections, over/unders, win probabilities and easily digestible fantasy advice for season-long and DFS leagues. Similarly, my weekly betting playbook features several data points for each of this weekend's scheduled games, along with my analysis of a few notable lines I'm interested in betting, although this article is designed in a way that allows you to pick your own favorites.

Note: Odds by ESPN BET and correct as of time of publication.

Minnesota Vikings @ Cincinnati Bengals -3.5
Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati
Saturday 1 p.m. ET

Money Line: Minnesota Vikings (+145); Cincinnati Bengals (-170)
Total: 40.5; Opened: 39.5
FPI favorite: Bengals by 2.2 (56.7% to win outright)

Projected Score: Bengals 21, Vikings 18

Tanner Hudson over 2.5 receptions (+123): Hudson doesn't see the field a ton, but he's heavily targeted when he's out there. The veteran tight end has played on 31% of Cincinnati's snaps during his eight games this season, averaging 4.3 targets and 3.5 receptions per game. After catching exactly two passes in his first two games (Weeks 3-4), he had four-plus receptions in five straight games prior to being held to only two again in Week 14. Minnesota has allowed at least three receptions to seven different tight ends over 13 games this season. This is well worth a look at plus money.

Nick Mullens over 0.5 INTs (-200): Mullens has played on more than half of his team's offensive snaps 17 times in his career and has thrown 21