How to bet the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am: Best bets, DFS tips and more - ESPN

The PGA is headed to Pebble Beach, a course that looks simple on paper but can expose everything. It's short by modern standards but not at all forgiving. Small greens, coastal air and sharp decision-making force players to play with controlled aggression.

Distance helps but it only matters if you can convert chances on the green, meaning tee-to-green sets the table but putting decides how far you can go.

You'll see that this week I included both «To win» and «To win without Scottie Scheffler.» If you opt to sprinkle on the outright market, I prefer the full To win. Removing Scheffler costs you upside, and the players I'm backing need volatility to win anyway. If they get there, it's because they spike with birdies and distance, not because Scottie politely stepped aside. The price difference rarely justifies sacrificing payout.

That said… new week, same method. I like the «Top 20» wagers for consistency, but I only target players whose profile actually supports a win if everything clicks. Full odds are listed, so you can choose your own risk level whether you're chasing ceiling or playing with higher probability.

Odds by DraftKings Sportsbook (with ties) and subject to change.

Jake Knapp: Top 20 (+114)

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Full odds:

Top 10 +270

Top 5 +590

To win +3800

Winner w/o Scheffler +3100

Knapp is a high-ceiling, volatility type of player. When his timing clicks, he contends, but when it doesn't, accuracy can get exposed. Pebble rewards exactly what he brings: power, birdies and putts. Knapp is an aggressive scorer with legit upside, bogey-free 64 kind of upside.

He's top five off the tee and driving distance,