How many medals will Canada win at the Beijing Paralympics?

Canada won a national-record 28 medals at the 2018 Pyeongchang Paralympics, blowing away its previous Winter Games mark of 19 set in 2010.

However, that new number came with a caveat: only eight golds in 2018, compared to 10 in 2010.

At Beijing 2022, both records could fall — especially when accounting for the 36 medals (12 gold) won by Belarus and the Russians in 2018 that are now up for grabs.

Here's a non-scientific, sport-by-sport look at how many medals Canadians may earn in China:

We'll group these sports together for their relative simplicity. Canada has one team entered in each, and it can max out at two medals across both. The hockey team has missed the podium twice at the Paralympics — most recently in 2010 — but enters Beijing as co-favourites with the U.S. The curling squad failed to get gold in 2018 for the first time ever, but it settled for bronze and remains a contender even as its dominance wanes. Two medals.

WATCH | Star forward Billy Bridges' winding path to the national team:

An easy place to improve, as Canada enters Beijing without a single medal since the sport was introduced in 2014. That should change in Beijing with a strong quartet (Tyler Turner, Alex Massie, Lisa DeJong, Sandrine Hamel) that returned home from January's world championships with a whopping eight podium appearances, including three gold medals. Don't expect eight in Beijing — two of the golds were won in team events, which aren't part of the Paralympic program — but another shutout would count as a massive surprise. Roughly five medals.

WATCH | Turner takes gold at worlds:

Encompassing cross-country skiing and biathlon, the sport has accounted for just over one-quarter of Canada's all-time Winter Paralympics medals — but also