Fantasy playbook: NFL Week 16 scores, projections, matchups - ESPN

Welcome to the Fantasy Football Playbook for Week 16, which kicked off Thursday with the Broncos at the Chargers.

This column features score projections, over/unders, win probabilities, and, of course, easily digestible fantasy advice for seasonlong leagues and DFS. This guide should help you with all sorts of decision-making, including sit/start decisions, last-minute waiver adds and lineup choices.

The advice is centered on 12-team PPR leagues with relatively standard scoring and lineup settings (1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 flex, 1 K, 1 D/ST), although I'll often mention «shallow» or «deep» leagues for some starters. The charts show all players who have been projected for at least 6.0 fantasy points this week, as well as all D/STs. «Matchup» is automatically determined using a proprietary metric that factors in raw and volume-adjusted fantasy points allowed to each position by the opposing defense this season.

(Editor's note: Projections and rankings will align almost perfectly, but sometimes when a projection is close, a player might be ranked slightly higher or lower because of other factors, including upside or risk. This column is subject to updates during the weekend, although at the very minimum, rankings will be updated on the site and projections will always be updated inside the game leading up to kickoff. )

NYG-ATL | DET-CHI | CLE-CIN | TEN-IND | LAR-NYJ
PHI-WAS | ARI-CAR | MIN-SEA | NE-BUF | JAX-LV | SF-MIA | TB-DAL | NO-GB

Projected Score: Falcons 24, Giants 16

Lineup locks: Bijan Robinson, Tyrone Tracy Jr., Malik Nabers, Drake London

After averaging 7.7 targets per game during his first 10 outings, Darnell Mooney has plummeted to an average of 4.5 (max of seven) during his past four games. As a result (and