Eliminator Challenge Week 3 - NFL picks, predictions, tips - ESPN

Through two weeks, nearly 60% of Eliminator Challenge entries have already been wiped out. The percentage is even higher in several high-stakes tournaments, including at Circa where over 67% of entrants have already been knocked out.

The three biggest favorites so far this season have all lost outright, with both the Baltimore Ravens and Detroit Lions falling, despite being at least 7-point favorites. The most popular Eliminator pick has gone down in both weeks, with the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 1 and the Ravens last week.

Nothing has been easy so far this season. Out of the eight teams that have been favored by at least six points so far this season, none have covered the spread.

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On paper, Week 3 looks like the most straightforward week this season. There are several big favorites listed below, all are at home against bad teams, and none of those teams are extremely valuable to save for the future.

As a result, selection percentages should be relatively spread out this week, with no team expected to be over 20% chosen. Strong cases can be made for all of the big favorites this week, with the top pick being the Cleveland Browns.

Click here to download Mike Clay's Eliminator Cheat Sheet, updated weekly. Odds current as of publish time, courtesy of ESPN BET

1. Cleveland Browns vs. New York Giants

This is the Browns' largest projected favorite role in any game this season according to both Mike Clay and ESPN Analytics. The Browns have one of the toughest home schedules in the NFL on paper, and their next-easiest game is a road game at Denver in Week 13. Clay also gives the Browns a 79% chance to win this week, the best chance on the entire board.