By the numbers - How the college football Week 2 results could impact the College Football Playoff

Let's be real: The Week 2 college football slate's impact on the playoff race is… minimal.

Of the 82 contests featuring FBS teams, there are only two games — two! — in which both teams have College Football Playoff leverage of at least 1%, according to the Allstate Playoff Predictor. In other words, there are just two games in which the difference in chance to reach the playoff with a win and with a loss exceeds 1%.

Alabama at Texas is the obvious candidate with legitimate playoff leverage for each team — though the Crimson Tide have an 82% chance to win, per ESPN's Football Power Index. The other game is Baylor at BYU, in which the Cougars squeak in with a single percentage point of playoff leverage in what should be a tighter affair (FPI makes Baylor a 58% favorite).

That's it. There are other games that are consequential in the sense that they could have an impact on the playoff race if the contending favorite loses.

Again, in other words — outside of the two contests mentioned at the top — this week is all about teams defending their playoff probabilities and paths. Let's talk about those two games, what other teams could trip up in Week 2 and what the impact would be. We'll ignore those with a 90+% chance to win and focus on the at least slightly feasible losses.

Alabama playoff leverage: 19%

Texas playoff leverage: 14%

FPI is all about the Longhorns, at least relatively. Though Texas is nowhere to be found among the AP Top 25, our predictive model is a believer, making Texas the seventh-best team in the country going forward. While FPI isn't exactly expecting a close outcome (it favors the Crimson Tide by 12.8 points), it does expect a closer contest than Caesars Sportsbook, which has Alabama as a 20-point