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Bubble Watch: Where things stand with 12 NCAA Tournament hopefuls

With Selection Sunday around the corner, teams will soon learn their fate. Have they built a compelling enough case for an at-large bid? Will they need to bolster their résumé with conference tournament wins? Or do they need an automatic bid to qualify for the Big Dance? 

All will be decided soon enough.

Heading into Thursday, FOX Sports bracket forecaster Mike DeCourcy had San Diego State, Indiana, Xavier and North Carolina as his last four teams to get into the tournament, while Texas, Ohio State, Wake Forest and UC Irvine were DeCourcy's first four teams out.

Dayton, Boise State, Colorado State and George Mason were listed as DeCourcy's next four teams out of the NCAA Tournament.

Here's how things stand with those 12 bubble teams as of Thursday night.

Record: 21-9
Conference Tournament result: Lost to Boise State (62-52)

What it means: San Diego State is at the committee's mercy. The Aztecs and Broncos were each fighting to get off the bubble and there's probably one spot between the two teams. The Aztecs have to hope their two regular-season wins over Boise State are more valuable than Thursday's Mountain West Tournament loss. The Aztecs also have more quality wins than the Broncos, including a 73-70 victory over No. 3 Houston on Nov. 30. If the Aztecs had beaten the Broncos, they probably would have clinched a trip to March Madness, so this result makes the committee's decision difficult. 

Record: 19-13
Conference Tournament result: Lost to No. 23 Oregon (72-59)

What it means: Indiana will be sweating it out on Selection Sunday. It could go either way for the Hoosiers, who could have potentially sewn up a spot in the tourney with a win or two in the conference tournament. Instead, they will have to wait to see how a

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