Betting tips for 2022 NBA Finals - Warriors-Celtics Game 3

All odds are provided by Caesars Sportsbook.

Underdog Dubs: The Warriors opened as a 3.5-point underdog tonight, and regardless of where the line locks, it is clear that bookmakers favor the Celtics now that this series has shifted to Boston. Golden State was covered 12 times this season as a 'dog, but how the Warriors have done it has evolved with time. In their first seven such covers, over tickets cashed six times, but in the most recent five instances, unders are 4-1.

Favored C's: For the first time in this series, bookmakers are expecting the Celtics to win and there's an interesting trend tied to when they've taken that stance this postseason. When favored, Boston has covered six times, and all six of those games have gone under the total. On the flip side, the five times the Celtics have failed to cover in such a spot, over tickets cashed four times.

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Backing Boston? If you like the home team in this critical spot, don't let the points sway you. Since Jan. 1, when the Celtics win, the point differential is, on average, 11.9 points higher than bookmakers projected. That's not to say they are a lock to win this game by 15 points, but season trends would suggest that more value rests in betting the Celtics ATS than on the money line.

— Kyle Soppe

Golden State Warriors at Boston CelticsWednesday: Live on ABC, 9 p.m. ET, TD Garden, Boston

Line: Celtics (-3.5)Money line: Celtics (-160), Warriors (+140)Total: 212.5 pointsBPI projected total: 225.7 pointsBPI win%: Celtics (80.5%)

Ruled out: None

Questionable: Robert Williams III, Gary Payton II, Andre Iguodala, Otto Porter Jr.

Note: BPI numbers factor players who are ruled out but assume questionable