2026 World Cup: Mexico's Odds Surge After Opening Match Win Over South Africa

As one of three host nations for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, El Tri will look to make this summer its year to finally go deeper than the Round of 16. 

Mexico opened its World Cup campaign with a dominant 2-0 win over South Africa at Mexico City Stadium on Thursday. 

Julián Quiñones quickly got things started with a goal in the ninth minute, which was followed by Raúl Jiménez's first career World Cup goal in the 67th minute after a South Africa red card.

Because of their ideal first result, Mexico has surged from +6500 to +4500 on the oddsboard to win the World Cup. They are now also -185 to win Group A, a major jump from the -140 number they were at before the tournament began.

Just how big was Mexico's win over South Africa? El Tri now has a better chance of making the final than being eliminated in the group stage. 

Can they build off their opening match and make a deep run in this tournament? Let's check out the updated odds for Mexico as of June 12.

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Team Mexico — Stage of Elimination

Last 32: +130 (bet $10 to win $23 total)
Last 16: +150 (bet $10 to win $25 total)
Quarterfinals: +400 (bet $10 to win $50 total)
Semifinals: +1200 (bet $10 to win $130 total)
Runner-up: +2800 (bet $10 to win $290 total)
Group stage: +4000 (bet $10 to win $410 total)
Outright winner: +4500 (bet $10 to win $460 total)

Mexico is currently +4500 to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup after their opening win vs. South Africa (Getty Images).

Mexico to Qualify from Group A: -10000 (bet $10 to win $10.10 total)

Mexico Group A Winner: -185 (bet $10 to win $14.76 total)

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