2023 NBA playoffs: Odds, picks, betting tips for Thursday's Game 3s

ESPN's fantasy basketball and basketball betting tips cheat sheet is your pregame destination for basketball betting predictions and our best intel and data, featuring ESPN's proprietary Basketball Power Index (BPI) to help you make smart fantasy and wagering decisions. NBA game odds for Thursday are provided by Caesars Sportsbook.

The suspension of Draymond Green for tonight's pivotal Game 3 matchup between the Golden State Warriors and Sacramento Kings drives some significant statistical implications. For instance, Donte DiVincenzo sees sizable surges in usage, assist rate, and fantasy points per minute when he's been off the floor this season. It's also worth noting that Stephen Curry's usage leaps by a team-high four percent when playing without Green.

As the Warriors face a must-win game at home, Andrew Wiggins stands out as a strong value for DFS competition given a modest price point ($6,300 on DraftKings). On the other side of the ball, Green's absence could be a real boon to Domantas Sabonis, a player I'm projecting to produce around 52 DraftKings points this evening.

In the other two games of this three-game Thursday slate, I'm building lineups around Kevin Durant given his surge in playmaking (16 dimes through two games) for the Phoenix Suns. In Brooklyn, meanwhile, it appears Spencer Dinwiddie is due for a positive correction in terms of scoring and passing production. He's led his team in drives for the series and sits only behind Nikola Jokic during the postseason in passes and touches per game. Even as the Nets appear overmatched by the 76ers in this series, Dinwiddie is in a quietly good spot to produce tonight.

— Jim McCormick

Philadelphia 76ers at Brooklyn NetsGame 3: 7:30 p.m. ET, 76ers lead series