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Ranking MLB playoff races: Who's primed for AL, NL wild cards? - ESPN

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Baseball's best playoff race kicked into high gear in July — and it all started with «the incident.» On July 19, the Seattle Mariners were 47-48 and in fourth place in the American League West — 10 games behind the division-leading Texas Rangers.

According to FanGraphs, their odds of winning the division stood at 2.5%. The Mariners had lost 6-3 at home to the Minnesota Twins that night — a game it looked like they'd win.

The Twins scored the go-ahead run in the eighth inning on a passed ball with two outs and then added two more on a home run in the top of the ninth.

In the bottom of that inning, Jarred Kelenic struck out looking with two runners on base after a nine-pitch at-bat against Jhoan Duran that included fouling off fastballs of 103 and 104 mph.

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