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TPC San Antonio is a ballstriking test that exposes weak iron play, forcing players to grind around the greens.

Thursday's near-constant storms put the usual «fast start» angle in doubt. Friday stays messy with wind and lingering rain, while Saturday looks like a potential disruption with heavy storms and delays.

Sunday flips completely; it's forecast to be cooler, drier and playable. That means this tournament likely isn't decided early, but built for steady players who can survive the first three days and take advantage when conditions finally ease.

Keep the card tight this week. There's no edge in forcing wagers right before Masters week.

Odds by DraftKings Sportsbook (with ties) and subject to change.

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Ludvig Åberg: Top 20 (-125)

Full odds:

Top 10 +165

Top 5 +315

To win +1500

The question this week is whether TPC San Antonio stays a ballstriking contest or turns into a short game grind, because that distinction is everything for Aberg.

The case for him is simple. He posted back-to-back elite ballstriking weeks, resulting in a T3 at Bay Hill and a T5 at the Players. His strokes gained on approach are top 10 in the field, gaining off the tee and with his irons simultaneously, the exact combo this course rewards most.

TPC is built to expose average iron players. The fairways run 25-30 yards wide, greens are heavily bunkers, and the undulation makes them play smaller than their actual size. Miss in the wrong spot and you're scrambling from deep sand or native rough.

Aberg's ballstriking means he's rarely in either conversation.

And when he does miss, the short