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Ismael Haniyeh is the face of Hamas abroad, but who is calling the shots inside Gaza? Does Israel's leadership want to negotiate, or eliminate its interlocutors? Would a three or five-day truce signal a temporary respite or the first step towards spelling out an alternative to reducing all of Gaza to rubble?
Hezbollah has lost several dozen fighters in cross-border skirmishes since Hamas sparked the war with Israel last month. Do Tehran and its proxies want to keep the tensions on a low simmer or dial them up for a full boil? There are good arguments for both.
Make no mistake, Latin American nations overwhelmingly condemned the Hamas slaughter of civilians. At least 15 Argentinians are listed as hostages. But the slow rollout of the ground offensive and the trickle of aid going into a blockaded Gaza have provoked sharp reactions.
An angry mob last Sunday overran the tarmac in the Muslim-majority Russian Republic of Dagestan. They had caught wind of a flight in transit from Tel Aviv and were searching for Israelis. Why the anger? We about Moscow blaming the incident on Ukraine, whose Jewish president was among the first to denounce the October 7 massacre by Hamas.
After all, Europe too has citizens caught up in the conflict, the bloc is the biggest donor to the Palestinian Territories, and back home it has millions of citizens – Muslims, Jews and Christians – who all feel a stake in the unfolding eruption. And while the US has put its military might behind Israel, Europe finds itself in a difficult balancing act.
With Israel now putting the number of abducted at 222, we ask how that bargaining is going and how the leadership is handling the crisis.
We ask about Rishi Sunak visiting Israel after Joe Biden, the king of Jordan traveling to Egypt and the German defence minister landing in Lebanon. So many peace efforts have failed over the past three decades that the international community grew tired of trying, instead hoping that Israel's US-brokered normalisation of ties with Arab states would induce a trickle-down positive effect on the Palestinians.
Whoever is responsible, the attack has torpedoed US President Joe Biden’s plan to confer with the Palestinian and Egyptian presidents at a cancelled summit in Jordan. Nonetheless, he has maintained his trip to Israel. Why? Was it the right move? The threat of escalation is no longer just about the Middle East.